Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 166.482555 197.537308 235.786248 287.441462 357.163183 450.855383 591.721962
2024-12-22 122.398575 156.385502 203.369904 276.426994 394.369754 593.346627 1001.776516
2024-12-29 106.618420 143.546899 199.106448 295.652006 477.626226 861.309690 2000.833982
2025-01-05 90.558395 125.688704 181.273135 284.829206 501.464177 1041.245505 3286.292373
2025-01-12 81.055127 115.593043 172.798427 286.616588 550.859524 1341.909174 6557.832418
2025-01-19 72.822043 105.972728 162.814073 281.873728 583.041944 1647.661380 13816.347375
2025-01-26 69.891672 104.508848 166.735605 306.896187 710.043362 2597.332127 111123.127954
2025-02-02 69.225989 106.711744 177.831396 352.545435 945.970085 5266.664765 NaN
2025-02-09 64.071134 100.095329 170.108328 349.146997 1009.408157 7276.301097 NaN
2025-02-16 60.451961 95.838592 166.475002 355.535155 1124.672500 11753.779459 NaN
2025-02-23 56.981255 91.437053 161.763130 357.454780 1226.846825 19441.125249 NaN
2025-03-02 53.838871 87.317258 157.006881 357.856324 1327.676082 34841.464702 NaN
2025-03-09 50.831057 83.496895 153.135262 362.747982 1490.982020 100958.553325 NaN
2025-03-16 46.956378 77.617108 143.756854 347.247388 1507.103865 219080.739030 NaN
2025-03-23 45.695020 76.862049 146.361696 374.102271 1921.308857 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 42.607274 72.012528 138.188843 358.946227 1940.239495 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 40.618798 69.274261 134.895422 361.443060 2166.041848 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 38.461024 65.979448 129.716573 354.822987 2285.537197 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 38.040834 66.354043 134.104199 389.941405 3169.199004 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 38.399717 68.463885 143.609096 455.200722 5457.897839 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 36.672659 65.720572 139.078216 450.290585 6023.658204 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 35.450303 64.025182 137.330972 459.527114 7386.119271 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 34.164981 62.077734 134.571069 462.308320 8724.419446 NaN NaN